in terms of value-add and development
deals. We strip out the cap rate compression and get down to the value created
through the leasing effort, capital initiatives or development risk. In order to
evaluate performance, we do the math
and get to that unvarnished return to see
how we’ve performed. Cap rate compression is over; today, it’s about driving
income and managing expenses. So if
you’re going to be operating value and/or
opportunistic funds, you really have to
have that boots-on-the-ground real estate
expertise to be able to drive
leasing, create expense effi-ciencies and expense management. The market will
not carry return; you have
to have the ability to add
value through hard work,
putting your shoulder into a
deal the old-fashioned way.
KAHN: I think you have
to do that for all categories
of real estate, even core.
“Cap rate
compression is over;
today, it’s about
driving income and
managing
expenses.”
PHILIP MCANDREWS
TIAA-CREF
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But one differentiation is that value add
is not necessarily a long-term horizon.
Traditionally, pension fund investors
are thought of as doing everything
based on a 10-year cash flow because
you may well hold an asset for 10
years—although maybe not in this environment. But value add has a much
shorter time frame.
And it’s more than just leasing and
renovating assets. I think all of us have
gone into product sectors that we
haven’t been in for many years, such as
self-storage facilities, student housing,
maybe even medical facilities. We’ve
expanded to meet the demands of the
capital, to be able to put it out there to
work, and we’ve become knowledgeable about these sectors.
DESIATO: Looking at the year
ahead, what will be the good, the
bad and the ugly of the commercial
real estate market?
DALY: We’re big fans of Downtown
Washington, DC office. Fundamentals
there are holding up very well. We
would take a look at any class A or trophy development Downtown that we
could get our hands on.
I think the ugly is going to be suburban multifamily. If we’ve seen repricing recently, it’s primarily been the
four-story, stick-built suburban multi-family assets. One of the odd things in
the multifamily world right now is that
developers are sending us deals where
the projected stabilized cap rate is actually below where you could buy core
product for today. So you’re actually
taking development risk to get a lower
return.
The bad is the office market, and
we’re still relatively bullish on indus-